8. Hell, Heaven and Earth: Part 2 - Heaven: Evolution of our Solar System

Theory of Planetary Evolution

Stonehenge

Independent civilizations all over the world built astronomy observatories comparable to Stonehenge - proof of humanity’s universal fascination with the heavens.

The wonder of the distant objects in the sky has always been an uplifting spiritual blend of science and religion. Astronomy is the eternal quest to make sense of everything in the sky that lies beyond the clouds.

The most distinguished feature of the heavenly bodies is their regularity. Every morning the Sun comes up, once a month the Moon goes through its phases, and once a year the patterns of stars cycle through their night-time display. As witness by the numerous early observatories that marked the regularity of these events, one could claim that science and indeed civilization began with astronomy. By first recognizing the orderly events in the sky, mankind has slowly come to realized that we exist in a rational universe.

Science is based on the belief that our reality is rational, and following this belief has proved to be a remarkably successful strategy. This is not to say that everything we currently know about reality makes sense to us, but rather that the belief that our reality should make sense is an approach that can be extremely helpful in our efforts to discover the workings of the universe. In the case of astronomy, this is the difference between simply recording observations about stars and planets and attempting to figure out the logical reasons explaining these objects.

In contrast to science, religion is based on faith and so it does not require physical evidence to support its beliefs. Without the requirement of supporting evidence, popularity becomes the most important criteria for a religion to be successful. Religions achieve their popularity by promoting beliefs that make people feel special.

radio telescope

Radio telescope, possibly listening for signs of intelligent alien life. Are we alone? Even within our own solar system, primitive life may exist. With billions of solar systems in the Milky Way alone — and billions of galaxies beyond — it is extremely likely that advanced life is scattered throughout the universe.

For mankind to thrive as rational beings, a strong distinction must be made between science and religion. Scientists should align themselves with beliefs that are best supported by evidence, rather than those that gain popularity simply because they make us feel good. In science education, lessons should include practicing the application of evidence-based reasoning for the purpose of drawing logical conclusions. Whenever a new scientific belief is introduced, teachers should lead a discussion of the evidence supporting it; merely stating that a belief is the consensus of experts is completely unacceptable. Science distinguishes itself from religion by encouraging people to develop their reasoning skills and focusing on evidence, rather than accepting beliefs as a matter of faith.

While the vast majority of scientific beliefs are true, history shows that leading scientists often initially cling to incorrect beliefs before eventually accepting the truth. Therefore, until there is considerable evidence supporting a belief - such as in the case of the Theory of Evolution - caution is needed in determining what is actually true. Pay attention to the strength of evidence-based arguments rather than how often a claim is repeated. A major red flag indicating that a popular belief is likely wrong is when scientists argue that their belief must be true simply because it is their consensus that it is true; in real science, the popularity of a belief cannot be used as a substitute for the presentation of clear evidence-based arguments in support of a belief.

Astronomers face a greater challenge than most other scientific disciplines in sorting through false beliefs on their way to discovering the truth. This is because, unlike other fields, in astronomy it is rarely possible to run experiments to test hypotheses. While leading scientists are usually extremely stubborn about abandoning incorrect beliefs, this inability to test hypotheses makes it even more difficult to discard bad ideas.

In the previous chapter, we learned that tidal forces - caused by the stretching of the Earth - explains why Earth’s interior is so warm. This new insight raises the question: does tidal heating also apply to other major objects in our solar system? Indeed, there is universal agreement among planetary scientists that tidal heating is the mechanism warming the interior of Jupiter’s moon Io. Furthermore, besides Io, astronomers have identified several other moons of Jupiter and Saturn where tidal heating plays a significant role in heating their interiors. Yet, astronomers still cling to the incorrect belief that radioactivity explains the internal heating of most planets and moons, including Earth. This is just another example of stubborn scientists refusing to yield to the evidence indicating that their belief is wrong.

This chapter will demonstrate how tidal heating can explain the evolutionary development of all the planets and moons in our solar system. In contrast to the radioactivity heating hypothesis, tidal heating has universal predictive power that matches observations throughout the solar system. It is the key component of the Theory of Planetary Evolution - a theory that greatly advances our understanding of the solar system

The Theory of Planetary Evolution, along with the laws of nature, gives us guidance towards understanding how the planets of our solar system - despite having a common collective beginning - could have arrived at their present remarkably unique states.

Probability Theory and Destiny

Throughout history mankind has often stumbled in seeing the truth because of his belief in his own importance. Centuries ago Galileo’s work was all the more difficult in winning the acceptance of the heliocentric model of the solar system because most people simple assumed that the Earth should be at the center of the universe.

Today science is again being held back because mankind’s belief in his own importance. Even though most astronomers hold secular beliefs, it is difficult for most people to overcome the popular feeling that there is a destiny to our lives that goes beyond the real experiences of our reality. There is no evidence that supports the concept of destiny.

Dice on a backgammon board

Backgammon with dice: probability of outcomes is what often determines reality.

All evidence shows that our reality is firmly based on probability theory. This may not make some people happy, but science is not about making people feel good but rather it is about determining the truth concerning our reality. While the truth may at first upset us, once we accept the scientific facts we are better able to understand and successfully interact with our reality. This objectivity is necessary in understanding our solar system.

This difficulty that people have in abandoning the incorrect notion of destiny is seen in the fondness that many religious scientists have for the Einstein quote “God does not play dice”. The implication is that there is a destiny to the workings of the universe guided by a supreme being. But while this may have been a personal religious belief of Einstein, it is not a scientific statement. Probability theory is fundamental to understanding numerous science disciplines such as the second law of thermodynamics, quantum physics, and the Theory of Evolution to mention only a few. From radioactivity, chemical reactions, biological interactions, or even lighting strikes, our whole reality is based on probability theory.

By applying probability theory rather than believing in destiny we empower ourselves to take responsibility and make wise decisions. A person who believes in destiny might drive home while intoxicated on the assumption that they will either arrive home through the help of their guardian angel or they will be in an accident as a result of God’s will. While a wiser, rational, more responsible individual considers the odds of the possible outcomes of his or her actions and makes good choices according to those odds. People make better decisions when they apply probability theory in their decision making process while in contrast people who believe in destiny are excusing themselves from responsibility.

We need to recognize that our reality is a mixture of highly probable events where we can makes choices, and unforeseeable improbable events over which we have little or no control. For most aspects of our lives we can weigh our risk, make choices, and take responsibility for our actions. While for other situation, such as natural catastrophes that may take our lives or the lives of our love ones, we need to make our peace in accepting our meekness in respect to nature.

Gaze up at the stars and attempt to imagine the extent of our universe. Our Milky Way galaxy is huge beyond imagination and yet it is just one galaxy among billions upon billions of galaxies of the universe. Our existence on Earth is insignificant to these cosmic objects. But by coming to terms with our meekness our minds are open to understanding our universe.

There is nothing wrong with thinking of our Earth as being a very special place; the Earth is a very special place. But to understand our Earth and our solar system we need to realize that these objects are not special because we are here, but rather we are here because these objects are special. Improbable yet seemingly ordinary events took place in their formation that created the unique conditions leading to the evolution of the advanced life form known as human beings.

It’s About Time: The Age of the Universe

In the 1950s and 1960s, based on radioactive dating of meteorites and terrestrial rocks, geologists and planetary scientists established that Earth - and along with it, the solar system - is about 4.6 billion years old. Thus, more than 4.6 billion years ago, a dusty molecular cloud existed that condensed due to gravitational attraction, eventually forming our solar system. This molecular cloud marks the beginning of our story of the formation of the solar system.

Yet it is natural to wonder: What came before this molecular cloud? Going further, it is natural to wonder where our Milky Way galaxy came from or why our reality should even exist.

heaven

Horsehead Nebula

Starting in the late 1960s and 1970s, cosmologists began promoting the Big Bang Theory as the dominant explanation for the origin of the universe. According to this hypothesis, about 13.8 billion years ago, the universe began as an extremely hot and dense singularity and has been expanding and cooling ever since. From this time forward, the Big Bang Theory has been presented to the public as the authoritative answer to the question of how the universe came into existence. Since alternative hypotheses are no longer given serious consideration, the public is led to believe that cosmologists’ Big Bang Theory - and their claim that the universe is 13.8 billion years old - is unquestionably true. However, in reality, cosmologists have been downplaying the fact that there is considerable conflicting evidence indicating that not only is this debate far from over, but that nearly all of their major beliefs may be incorrect.

The primary problem is that, in terms of cosmic events, 13.8 billion years is actually a ridiculously short amount of time.

While our models of reality are limited by imagination, nature has no such constraints. The universe is so vast it defies comprehension: there are more stars in the cosmos than grains of sand on every beach and desert on Earth. We accept the enormity of space because we observe it, but we struggle with the enormity of time because it demands imagination.

When cosmologists first considered the age of the universe, they likely saw 13.8 billion years as an inconceivably long time - but it is not. The supposed age of the universe is only three times the age of our solar system.

To consider the feasibility of a 13.8 billion years age for the universe, we should use our solar system’s 4.6-billion-year age as a reference. Is it realistic that entire spiral galaxies could form in only slightly more time than it took Earth to form? To give another example, our sun, like all surrounding stars, formed from the remnants of earlier exploded stars, which themselves formed from even earlier explosions, and so on. How could all these cycles occur in little more than the lifespan of our Sun?

Beyond these logical inconsistencies, direct evidence indicates that the universe is older than 13.8 billion years: several stars, galaxies, and globular clusters have been found that are older than 14 billion years. Particularly baffling is cosmologists’ claim that there is no conflict between the supposed age of 13.8 billion years and the observable universe’s radius of approximately 46.5 billion light-years. While they redefine the definition of speed to explain how light could have traveled more than three times the speed of light, this still does not explain why distant images show mature galaxies when the light supposedly left its source not long after the universe began. As we peer farther into space, the uniformity of the universe’s appearance leads to the seemingly impossible conclusion that the universe may be both endless and ageless.

Nebula M42

Nebula Dust Cloud

So why do cosmologists continue to claim the universe is only 13.8 billion years old?

The 13.8-billion-year estimate stems from astronomers’ efforts to explain the redshifting of light from distant objects. They observed that distant objects exhibit redshift, with the farthest ones being the most redshifted. Based on the belief that the redshifting was due to the objects moving away from us, cosmologists concluded that all these objects must have emerged from a single point in space: as a result of the Big Bang. Based on the degree of redshift, they calculated the speed of these objects and along with this the supposed age of the universe as being 13.8 billion years.

Since evidence now indicates the universe is older than 13.8 billion years, something must be wrong with their calculations - or worse, their assumption that redshifting is due to the objects’ movement may be incorrect. Understandably, cosmologists are reluctant to accept this conclusion, as doing so could mean that many of their long-held beliefs, including the Big Bang Theory, are wrong.

So, how old is the universe and how did it come into existence? Honestly, scientists do not know.

While it is intriguing to wonder about the universe’s origins, given the current uncertainty, we must acknowledge that such discussions remain largely speculative rather than scientific. Therefore, if we limit ourselves to evidence-based science, the formation of our solar system is about as far back in time as we can reliably explore.

Making Sense of Our Solar System

Our first casual observation of the planets gives us the impression that most of these planets have little in common with each other. Mercury has a cratered surface, Venus is obscured by thick white clouds, Earth is the blue planet since it is mostly covered with water, and Mars is the barren red planet. The large gaseous planets that are further away from the Sun have even less in common with these terrestrial planets. However, appearances can be deceiving. The differences between these planets that we see today are the result of more than 4.6 billion years of planetary evolution.

Planet Axial Tilt Notes
Mercury 0.034o No tilt
Venus 177.4o Rotates retrograde
Earth 23.44o Causes our seasons
Mars 25.19o Similar to Earth
Jupiter 3.13o No tilt
Saturn 26.73o Similar to Earth
Uranus 97.77o Rolls on its side
Neptune 28.32o Similar to Earth

One of the challenges in making sense of our solar system is distinguishing which outcomes can be determined through the application of scientific laws and which are merely the result of chance. For example, Earth experiences seasons because its rotational axis is tilted at 23.5 degrees — a fact that has major consequences for life on our planet. However, a planet’s axial tilt is, for the most part, a random outcome rather than something that could be accurately predicted through scientific principles.

While rotational tilt appears to be largely a random outcome, what about the other properties of planets? Can we predict these properties through the application of the laws of nature, or are they - like rotational tilt - mostly random? Is a planet’s mass a random outcome? What about its density, material composition, atmospheric thickness, average surface temperature, magnetic field strength, orbital distance, rotational speed, whether it has moons, or whether life exists on the planet? If we hope to develop a theory that provides insight into our solar system, it makes sense to focus on those planetary and lunar properties that can be explained by the laws of science, rather than spending time on features that are largely the result of chance.

The reason we see so many apparent differences between the planets and other objects of our solar system is that subtle differences or specific events over the past several billion years have sent them along different evolutionary paths. For example, the mass of a planet may be similar to its rotational tilt in that, to some degree, whether a terrestrial or gaseous planet ended up with the most mass may be something of a random outcome, and yet this can have a major impact on how a planet evolves. To give another example, on Earth, the abundance of water on its surface, the right climate, and other factors led to the creation of life, a feature that so far has not been detected anywhere else. Going backward in time will not work as a means of understanding how or why these events occurred; rather, we must start at the beginning and move forward. Like moving from the trunk of a tree to its branches and leaves, we begin by recognizing what all objects in the solar system shared in common, and then note where and why they diverged.

heaven

Comparative Size of the Planets of Our Solar System

The Formation of our Solar System
Angular Momentum and Sphere / Ring Objects

Within our own Milky Way galaxy, astronomers observe regions they believe are stellar nurseries, where new stars form. Billions of years ago, our solar system likely began its existence in a similar environment. This is possible the best place to start in explaining the formation of the solar system.

The most widely accepted hypothesis for the origin of the solar system begins with the gravitational collapse of part of an interstellar cloud of gas and dust. There are a variety of questionable ideas about why a nebula would begin to collapse on itself, but it is sufficient to say that this gravitational collapse process is not well understood, nor is it clear why the collapsing cloud of dust should begin to rotate. Regardless of how the collapse begins, once the molecules and dust particles start converging toward a central point, the entire cloud begins to rotate – although where this rotation came from is also not entirely clear. Nevertheless, even if the rotation is unnoticeable at first, as the cloud collapses, the rotational speed increases dramatically in accordance with the conservation of angular momentum. While most of the material is drawn toward the center to form a sphere-shaped mass, the high speed of rotation causes some of the dust to be either thrown off from the equator or simply left behind to revolve around the sphere in the form of a spinning disk. While the central sphere becomes a star, the disk of material orbiting around the sphere become the planets and moons of these forming solar systems.

Saturn

Both Saturn and our solar system have the same sphere / ring shape.

This dynamic process results in a distinctive structure: a dense, central sphere surrounded by a thin, equatorial disk, with both components rotating in the same direction. While this might suggest a balanced two-part system, the mass distribution is typically lopsided, heavily dominated by the central body. For example, in our solar system, the Sun contains about 99.8% of the system’s total mass, while the planets hold about 98% of the angular momentum.

All the material that went into creating our solar system, only 0.2% went toward creating the planets and moons, and only a small portion of this already small amount went toward creating the Earth. Yet the most important takeaway of this model is that all the planets and moons came from the same interstellar cloud of gas and material that was originally revolving around the Sun.

This combination of forces – gravity pulling mass together, angular momentum conservation, and centrifugal effects producing a fast-spinning sphere and disk - works on a surprising range of scale. Besides the creation of solar systems, we see smaller versions of solar systems in ring and satellite systems that orbit all of the large outer planets of our solar system. We also this these sphere/ring objects in the shape of spiral galaxies.

Despite the vast difference in size, we can think of the stars that come together to form a spiral galaxy as analogous to the molecules and tiny dust particles that came together to form our solar system. The stars of a spiral galaxy can also be thought of as grains of sand in a desert dust storm, in that they have no ability to stick together and grow into a much larger mass. Likewise, we should ask how the molecules and tiny dust particles of the forming solar system were able to clump together to form the terrestrial planets, moons, and the many other solid celestial objects that make up our solar system.

galaxy

Galaxy in Early Stage of Development

galaxy

Rotating Galaxy in Medium Stage of Development

galaxy

Rotating Galaxy in Medium or Advanced Stage of Development

While it would be nice to witness the formation of these sphere-disk systems, the time required for these processes may as well be infinite compared to our short lives. Although we realize that distant objects like galaxies are moving at incredibly high speeds, to us they will always appear as still images. For some cosmic objects, astronomers address this problem by gathering pictures of similar objects at different stages of development and, hopefully, assembling them in the correct order so that they can "witness" these cosmic events taking place.

Despite the vast difference in size, we can think of the stars that come together to form a spiral galaxy as analogous to the molecules and tiny dust particles that came together to form our solar system. The stars of a spiral galaxy can also be thought of as grains of sand in a desert dust storm, in that they have no ability to stick together and grow into a much larger mass. Likewise, we should ask how the molecules and tiny dust particles of the forming solar system were able to clump together to form the terrestrial planets, moons, and the many other solid celestial objects that make up our solar system.

Our solar system, and likely all solar systems, started out as a vast dust cloud that collapsed in on itself due to gravitational attraction. It also began rotating ever faster as it came together, and as a result, it started to leave behind a ring of material surrounding its equator. This ring of material itself began coming together as other smaller spheres orbiting the main sphere that eventually became the Sun. Just as with the larger solar system, each of these smaller spheres began rotating and leaving behind its own ring as it collapsed due to gravity. Even today, these rotating spheres, now known as the gaseous planets, are still shrinking. And each one of these gaseous planets has its own ring and satellite system, although, except for Saturn, most of the ring systems of these gaseous planets have faded away, leaving behind only their satellites.

Even though it is impossible for us to recognize these changes, it is important to understand that these planets and our solar system as a whole are changing: they are evolving. They are still shrinking and growing denser as the gases that make up these planets are drawn closer together.

We can understand the shrinking of these gas planets in terms of energy. The gravitational forces pulling the gas toward the center are nearly balanced by the kinetic energy of the molecules. Yet all of these planets are slowly shrinking in size because more energy is being radiated away from these planets than they are receiving.

While understanding the shrinking of gas planets is fairly straightforward, the evolution of terrestrial planets, moons, asteroids, and comets is a bit more involved and interesting.

Sticking Together

Traditionally, the standard solar system formation hypothesis states that the dust and particles in the orbiting disk began to clump together, first forming moon-sized protoplanets that later collided and stuck together to eventually form the planets we see today. While this model of planet formation may seem simple enough, it actually fails to explain a key aspect that turns out to be extremely important to understanding our solar system: how is it possible for small particles to clump together?

Cosmic dust grains are thought to increase in size by accumulating atoms and molecules from the surrounding gas. Although this process is fundamental to their growth, relatively few studies have examined how efficiently different particles adhere under varying temperatures and conditions, or how this affects overall grain development. As a result, both the formation of dust and the mechanisms governing its growth remain poorly understood.

To appreciate the subtleties of this problem, we need to think about the forces that hold matter together.

galaxy

Bar magnet with iron filings aligned to the magnetic field: throughout space, small metallic particles are held together by magnetic attraction.

Nearly everything in existence is fundamentally held together by the fact that opposite charges attract. Why there should be such things as positive and negative charges that - merely by their existence - are attracted to each other is one of those questions that are so fundamental that it remains beyond our understanding. It is almost as fundamental as asking why our reality exists. There are simply some questions that are so fundamental that all we can do is be grateful that our reality exists in this fashion before moving forward in trying to understand how it works.

Besides the electrostatic force, there is also its cousin, the magnetic force. For ferromagnetic materials, tiny metallic particles have directional magnetic dipoles that are effective at attracting other tiny metallic particles. Hence, a speck of ferromagnetic material in space can attract nearby iron-rich dust with its magnetic field. Sparsely dispersed throughout space, there are extremely small metallic dust particles that are held together in this way.

While there are some notable large-scale exceptions - such as lightning strikes and the magnetic fields of planets - the vast majority of electrostatic and magnetic effects occur at the molecular or micrometer scale, and it is in this “small world” that electrostatic forces dominate.

Electrostatics works great as a means of attraction when the interaction involves two small, oppositely charged particles that are in close proximity to each other. However, as dust particles grow larger, the effectiveness of these forces wanes. Once cosmic dust particles reach their typical size of about 0.1 micrometer, two of these particles colliding together are just as likely to break into smaller pieces as they are to stick together.

This presents a significant problem for current hypotheses on the formation of planets or moons. And it is only recently that scientists have recognized that they do have an explanation for how cosmic dust could grow larger than grains of sand. While gravity works great as an attractor when at least one of the objects is the size of a small moon - about a hundred kilometers in diameter - how does one of these dust particles grow to be the size of a small moon?

Comet Comet

In more ways than most people realize, water - or water ice - acts as a kind of glue that holds matter together, a property that arises from its electric dipole nature. In contrast to dry, charged dust particles, whose ability to attract other particles fades as they grow larger, the electric dipole nature of water molecules enables them to continuously attract both charged and uncharged molecules. It is water molecules that enable particles to grow from their initial small size to being many kilometers in diameter. Then, once an object is several kilometers across, gravity is able to take over as the primary attracter of additional matter.

The next important realization is that water is much more commonly dispersed throughout the solar system than one might at first be led to believe. This statement itself may seem paradoxical since, other than Earth’s surface, water is actually rather difficult to find on most planets and moons throughout our solar system. We resolve this paradox by realizing that, while water is abundantly spread out among the planets and moons, typically very little, if any, water will exist on the surface of these planets and moons. This is because ultraviolet radiation will easily break apart water molecules in a process called photodissociation. A primary reason why Earth has been able to hold on to its oceans of water is because the UV radiation from the Sun is already used up in the atmosphere at it breaks apart oxygen molecules that are blocking the UV radiation from reaching the surface.

Because of photodissociation, most of the planets and moons close to the Sun are as dry as deserts. Yet, make no mistake: far beneath the surfaces of these objects, there is an abundance of water locked within their interiors. Beneath those surfaces, or at greater distances from the Sun, water - whether as liquid or frozen ice - can be widespread. Comets and distant Kuiper Belt objects, far from the Sun, are often 50 to 70 percent frozen water, while many moons of the outer planets are composed largely of ice rather than rock, and the inner rings of Saturn are nearly 100 percent frozen water.

The reason water is so widely dispersed throughout the solar system is because water was glue that enabled these objects to grow into being the large objects that they are today. Without water, no large objects could form and our solar system would remain forever a cloud of revolving dust.

We can gain further insight into water’s role in the formation of the solar system - and the development of satellite systems more generally - by carefully studying and correctly interpreting the evidence provided by Saturn’s ring–moon system.

Saturn's Rings: The Key to Understanding Our Solar System

The classical explanation of Saturn’s rings is an excellent example of how initial scientific investigators often draw the wrong conclusions about a phenomenon, and later scientists become stuck in the dead-end paradigm that the earlier scientists created.

In 1610, Galileo was the first to observe the rings of Saturn, but he did not understand what he was seeing because his telescope was too weak to create an unambiguous image. It was not until 1655 that Christiaan Huygens - using a more powerful telescope - recognized that Saturn was surrounded by a thin, flat ring that did not touch the planet. After this, it was not until the late 1800s before astronomers felt they had a reasonable explanation for why Saturn has rings. Yet, while this ‘torn apart moon’ explanation seemed to make sense at the time, more recent evidence shows that this classic explanation is wrong.

To explain the origin of Saturn’s rings, astronomers proposed that one or more of Saturn’s moons drifted too close to Saturn and consequently it was torn apart by tidal forces. A key part of this hypothesis was the introduction of the Roche limit - the calculated minimum distance at which a weakly held together satellite can orbit a planet without being torn apart by tidal forces.

Let’s go over the primary evidence clarifying the fact that Saturn’s rings are not the remnants of a torn-apart moon or moons.

Roche Limit is Misleading – Because gravity attracts objects together, it might seem like common sense that orbiting moons would slowly drift toward their host planet. However, this is not the case. Saturn’s moons, like Earth’s moon and the vast majority of moons, have a prograde orbit, meaning they orbit in the same direction as the planet rotates. The gravitational pull of these moons distorts the host planet, which in turn produces a slight tug on the moon directed away from the planet. In summary, contrary to what is implied by the Roche Limit explanation, moons generally do not drift toward their host planet. Instead, as these moons continuously orbit a planet, they are also very slowly drifting further away.

The Water Ice of Saturn’s Rings Is Far Too Clean – If Saturn’s rings came from a shattered moon, we should see significant amounts of rock and dust in the composition of Saturn’s rings. But Saturn’s rings - especially the innermost visual ring, the B ring - are far purer than its moons. Instead of the rings’ composition matching that of the moons, there is actually a distinct gradient in purity starting from the inner ring to the larger outer moons. Saturn’s inner B ring is about 99.9% pure water ice, the next ring out is about 99% pure, the small moons that are farther out are 90 to 95% pure, while the larger moons that are still further out are 50 to 90% pure.

Saturn’s Rings Are Extremely Young – Similar to how our bookshelves get dusty if they have not been cleaned for a while, objects out in space also get dusty over time, and we can get a sense of how old these objects are by how much dust has accumulated. The fact that Saturn’s nearest ring is 99.9% pure water ice indicates that these rings are very young indeed - possibly no more than ten million years. Furthermore, the progression of these objects becoming increasingly dirtier the farther we move outward indicates that the objects farthest away from Saturn are the oldest.

The Source of Saturn’s Rings Has Been Identified – To create the nearly pure water ice chunks that make up Saturn’s B ring requires a source of nearly pure water. In 2017, the Cassini spacecraft passed through the gap between Saturn and its rings and, in doing so, detected charged water-group ions (H₂O⁺, HO⁺, and O⁺). These charged ions, either by themselves or combined with hydrogen atoms, form the water that creates the rings. Furthermore, the fact that these are all positively charged ions means that even an extremely modest electrostatic field gives them the ability to overcome Saturn’s gravitational field: an electric field is lifting these ions up to Saturn’s rings.

This evidence indicates that while the scientists of the late 1800s thought they had figured out the origin of Saturn’s rings, they had actually got the process backward: instead of Saturn’s moons drifting inward and then being ripped apart to form the rings, water isotopes are being lifted up from Saturn’s equator before solidifying into a ring of countless tiny ice chunks. From this moment on they have been growing steadily larger as they bump into and stick to other ice clumps, while at the same time cosmic dust has been collecting on their surfaces. Eventually these dirty ice chunks become so large that they are identified as moons, the smaller moons having odd potato shapes while the larger moons succumb to the stronger gravity and internal heating that causes them to take on a spherical shape.

Despite substantial new evidence about the evolution of Saturn’s rings - particularly the implausibility of torn-apart, extremely dirty moons producing 99.9% pure ice - it is difficult to understand why the astronomy community has not moved quickly to correct their mistake. In fact, in their own way, they are trying. Recognition that there may be problems with the traditional explanation was likely a factor in planning the 2017 Cassini mission. Yet, surprisingly, when positive water ions were discovered between Saturn and its rings, instead of recognizing that these charged particles are moving outward to the rings - thus explaining the high purity of the inner rings – leading astronomers conveyed hardheadedness by misinterpreting the evidence to mean that the water ions are raining down from the rings. One is left to conclude that it is difficult for these scientists to give up their old, incorrect belief; for most astronomers, the idea that Saturn’s rings are the remnants of torn-apart moons is one that they have held since childhood - perhaps this explanation even inspired them to pursue astronomy as a career.

Moving on, with Saturn’s ring–moon system we are able to witness in real time the creation of moons, and this gives us insight into how all moons were created, and indeed, insight into the formation of the planets themselves.

Having the correct explanation of how the moons and planets formed is much more than a history lesson; it is what gives us a true understanding of our solar system.

With Saturn’s rings, we see how moons are created: first, water-ice particles are spun off Saturn’s equator; they grow larger by sticking together and also become dirtier by gathering cosmic dust. Faster growth becomes possible once they become large enough for gravity to pull in surrounding material, and at this point they begin to take on a rounded shape. Ice is the “sticky” material that enables cosmic dust to come together and eventually form moons.

We must now ask whether Saturn’s ring–moon system is a special case or the key to understanding the formation of our solar system.

observatory

Open Telescope Observatory

Saturn is not the only gas giant with a ring system: Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune all have rings. However, these ring systems are harder to see because they are much smaller and darker. They also differ from Saturn’s in that, while Saturn’s rings are nearly 100% water ice, the rings of the other planets contain little, if any, water. We might question whether there is any real connection among these systems - until we examine the composition of their moons.

Like Saturn’s moons, the moons of the other outer planets are mixtures of ice and rock. This suggests that their moons formed in a similar way: ice particles were first ejected from the planet’s equator, then clumped together, gathered dust, and eventually grew into moons. The reason Saturn’s rings are bright while the others are faint is that, unlike Saturn, these planets likely stopped supplying fresh ice long ago. Over billions of years, ultraviolet radiation has eroded their rings by breaking apart water molecules—a process that affects small ring particles far more than large moons. This helps explain why the ring systems of Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune are so diminished and largely depleted of water.

On a larger scale, the Sun and its orbiting planets resemble these giant planets and their satellite systems. This raises the question: was ice also a key component in the formation of the planets?

While our solar system was forming - before the fusion process began that lit our Sun - this region of the galaxy must have been an extremely cold place. With temperatures close to absolute zero, the contracting solar system would have been throwing off water ions that would quickly freeze. Considering the extremely cold conditions that must have existed before the Sun’s fusion process began, there were possibly other icy compounds forming as well as water ice. During the early stages of the solar system, it was these icy water crystals and other icy substances that enabled rocky material to stick together and eventually grow into planets and moons. Billions of years later, much of this water is still trapped inside these planets and moons, while the objects that formed on the outskirts of the solar system have hardly changed at all: they are still just dirty chunks of ice.

The fact that Saturn’s rings are nearly pure frozen water and are extremely young, relatively speaking, while the outer moons are much older, provides a clue to what is happening. Saturn is contracting in size, which, because of the conservation of angular momentum, causes it to spin faster. The planet’s rotation produces a centrifugal effect that tends to throw material off the planet, and this effect is strongest at the equator. Usually, the molecules most likely to escape are the lightest ones, such as hydrogen and helium, because they move faster and can exceed the planet’s escape velocity. However, the molecules with the best chance of escaping are charged water ions, because they receive additional acceleration from electrostatic forces lifting them away from the planet. After being ejected into orbit, these water ions can combine with hydrogen to form ice crystals - crystals that continue to grow by sticking to one another until they become visible as Saturn’s rings.

The reason this discussion has focused on Saturn’s rings is that they serve as a “real-time display” of how frozen water plays a central role in the formation of moons and planets. Most objects in the solar system likely began as frosty, orbiting blocks of ice - primarily water ice, though in the early stages of the solar system there was also carbon dioxide ice and possibly other frozen compounds as well. Many bodies in the solar system are either composed largely of such frozen, dust-laden ice or contain, or once contained, cores formed from water ice or mixtures of water and carbon dioxide ice.

Is Saturn Shrinking?

As stated earlier, there is a progression in the amount of dust on the objects orbiting Saturn: Saturn’s inner B ring is about 99.9% pure water ice, the next ring out is about 99% pure, the small moons farther out are 90 to 95% pure, while the larger moons still farther out are 50 to 90% pure. Furthermore, since the amount of dust that accumulates correlates with the age of these objects, this means that while the inner rings may be only a few million years old, the outer moons may be more than a billion years old. This progression of age correlating with these objects’ distance from Saturn implies that, for the last billion years or so, once ice formed near Saturn’s surface, it has been steadily drifting away from Saturn.

Or so it appears.

Earlier it was explained that - contrary to what is implied by Roche Limit, and against what must seem like common sense - orbiting moons do not normally drift towards their host planet. Yet at the same time, when there are numerous moons orbiting a planet, these moons are not all that motivated to move away from the planet either.

Diagram of Earth's Tidal Bulge

Because of its proximity, the tidal bulge that is closer to the Moon as the greater effect, and because this bulge is leading the Moon it is applying a slight forward pull that slowly sends the Moon to a higher orbital.

While it is true that Earth’s moon is slowly drifting away from Earth, this phenomenon of prograde-orbiting moons slowly moving away from their host planet may not as strong for other satellite systems.

The reason Earth’s moon is slowly moving away from Earth is because the pull of the Moon creates a tidal bulge on the Earth that slightly leads the orbital movement of the Moon, and this in turn tends to pull the Moon into a higher orbit. Hence, there needs to be this tidal bulge on the host planet to produce this phenomenon. For most of the satellite systems in our solar system, the moons orbiting their host planet are not nearly as large in comparison to their host planet, and so their ability to create a significant tidal bulge to produce this effect is not nearly as great. Consequently, some of these moons in prograde orbits may still be slowly moving away from their host planet, but they will do so at an even slower rate than the slow outward movement of Earth’s moon.

When we specifically consider the outward movement of Saturn’s rings and moons, the near uniformity of these objects orbiting Saturn means that the outward movement is almost nonexistent.

But if the rings and moons of Saturn are all but locked in their orbital distances, how is it that there is this progression of younger to older orbiting objects as we travel away from Saturn? The answer is that movement is relative. It is not so much that these objects are moving away from Saturn as it is that the surface of Saturn is moving away from them: Saturn is shrinking.

Over billions of years, as Saturn collapsed in on itself, its rotational speed increased due to the conservation of angular momentum. Yet with greater rotational speed comes greater centrifugal force attempting to throw material off at its equator. Consequently, as Saturn is shrinking, it is also throwing off material at its equator - the latitude where the centrifugal force is the greatest. Furthermore, the material that it is throwing off is the positive water ions, because in an electric field the positive charge of these ions gives them an extra lifting force over the neutral charged material. For all the time that Saturn has been shrinking, it has been leaving behind rings of ice crystals that, over time, have clumped together while collecting dust and eventually evolving into the moons of Saturn.

Finally, Saturn is not an outlier among the gaseous planets but rather is simply the last one in completing this stage of its evolution. Not only do all of the other large gaseous planets have satellite systems - moons consisting of a mixture of ice and rock - but all of these planets have faint icy rings.

Still, we can expand this idea even further to consider how the solar system itself formed. In the early stages of the formation of our solar system this collapsing ball of material must have had a radius greater than the orbital radius of Neptune. As it contracted it was leaving behind a thin ring of icy crystals that, in a process similar to the formation of Saturn’s, began forming the nucleus of the future planets. These early planets themselves were themselves drawing together large clouds of material whose radii were initially much larger than what these planets currently have. As the Sun shrunk while leaving behind this material in the elliptic plane, the forming planets in this elliptic plane were also shrinking while leaving behind a ring of material revolving around their equators.

Orbital Spacing of Moons and Planets

Because Saturn’s rings are an even distribution of ice chunks, from Earth, the rings look like a continuous sheet of material. However, further out, beyond the rings, we no longer see this sheet of material because it has all been gathered up by the orbiting moons. The reason for this change is that once some of these ice chunks become fairly large - the size of small moons - gravity then becomes effective in attracting and gathering up all the remaining small ice chunks. Besides removing the smaller ice chunks, the gravitational force also brings together many of these smaller moons.

Gravity is the attractive force between the center of mass of one object and the center of mass of another object. If these objects are isolated in space, such as when a small object approaches a much larger moon or planet, it is fairly easy to calculate the acceleration and movement of the smaller object as it is attracted to the much larger moon or planet. However, when these two objects are closer in size and are orbiting a much larger third object - such as the case for two moons orbiting a planet - determining the movements of these objects can be surprisingly complicated and even difficult to accurately predict. In astrophysics and rocket science, this is known as the three-body problem.

The speed of a moon orbiting a planet is determined by the radius of its orbit: the greater the radius, the slower its speed. Hence, if there are two moons orbiting a planet, the moon in the lower orbit will travel faster and eventually pass the slower moon at the higher orbit. Furthermore, if the orbits of these two moons are close to each other, the two moons will be strongly attracted to each other as one moon passes the other. The paths of these moons may change as a result of this gravitational attraction.

During this close encounter, there is an exchange of energy. As the fast moon in the lower orbit is approaching, it gains energy because the other moon is pulling it forward. After it passes, it loses energy because the pull from the other moon is slowing it down. Yet, out of the whole exchange, the fast moon in the lower orbit will gain more energy than it loses. The effect of this gain in energy is that the moon in the lower orbit is slowly moving into a higher orbit.

Because all forces are equal and opposite, a similar yet opposite result occurs with the moon in the higher orbit. Each time it is being passed, it first feels a pull slowing it down, and then, after the faster moon goes by, the moon in the higher orbit feels a pull speeding it up. Yet the total effect of these pulls is that the moon in the higher orbit is losing energy, and so it is slowly falling into a lower orbit. Consequently, with every orbital pass, these two moons are slowly coming ever closer to being in the same orbit.

Once these moons come really close to each other, depending on how they approach and the differences in their mass, a variety of outcomes are possible. If the two moons are nearly the same mass, it is possible that they will start doing a little "dance" where they switch orbitals every time they come near each other. Another possibility is that the pull from the larger moon will send the smaller moon off in an odd direction. And of course, there is also the possibility that one moon will simply collide with the other to create a single larger moon. The upshot of this chaotic evolution is that the surviving moons often end up in a dynamically stable configuration, with orbital radii that may exhibit roughly geometric spacing and/or orbital resonances.

Moon Orbital Period
(days)
Ratio to Io
Io 1.769 1
Europa 3.551 2.007
Ganymede 7.155 4.043
Callisto 16.689 9.43

The classic example of this orbital resonance is seen in the major moons of Jupiter. Their orbital spacing is based on the resonance of their orbital periods. The orbital periods of Io, Europa, and Ganymede are in a 1:2:4 resonance, meaning that as Io - Jupiter’s closest large moon - completes four orbits, Europa completes two, and Ganymede completes one. Besides these first three moons, there is also Callisto, which - being on moon that is furthest away - is not caught up in this resonance pattern. This resonance pattern - the doubling of the periods - makes for the most stable orbital positions when the moons are fairly large.

Because Saturn’s moon system is still a "work in progress," the resonance pattern is not so obvious for these younger, smaller moons. But look closer: Tethys’ orbital period is twice that of Mimas, and likewise, Dione’s orbital period is twice that of Enceladus. These four moons are intertwined even more since these two resonance patterns are overlapping. For these moons - Mimas, Enceladus, Tethys, and Dione - the next moon further out has a period that is about 1.43 times greater. Unlike Jupiter’s moons, these intermediate positions are currently still stable because these much smaller moons of Saturn have weaker gravitational fields, and so the closer spacing is tolerable.

Moon Orbital Period
(days)
Ratio to Mimas
Mimas 0.942 1
Enceladus 1.370 1.45
Tethys 1.888 2.00
Dione 2.737 2.91

While it is possible to make some sense out of the spacing of these moon systems, that is not to say that there is rhyme or reason to the spacing of all the moons of our solar system.

Beyond Dione, there isn’t really much of a clear resonance pattern for Saturn’s more distant moons: Rhea, Titan, Hyperion, and Iapetus. The same goes for the moon systems of Uranus and Neptune; for either of these moon systems, there is no clear resonance pattern similar to Jupiter’s moons.

This brings us to the Titius-Bode Law, which gives the spacing of the planetary orbits in our solar system.

In 1766, Johann Daniel Titius published his discovery of a simple numerical pattern that matched the orbital spacing of the planets. This mathematical rule was later popularized by Johann Elert Bode and is now known as the Titius-Bode Law.

The rule begins with the sequence 0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 96, 192, 384. Adding four to each of these numbers gives 4, 7, 10, 16, 28, 52, 100, 196, 388, and then dividing each result by 10 yields 0.4, 0.7, 1.0, 1.6, 2.8, 5.2, 10.0, 19.6, and 38.8. These numbers correspond to the orbital radii of the planets in astronomical units (AU), with 1 AU being the orbital radius of Earth.

Planet n value Predicted (AU) Actual (AU)
Mercury –∞ 0.4 0.39
Venus 0 0.7 0.72
Earth 1 1.0 1.00
Mars 2 1.6 1.52
Asteroid belt 3 2.8 2.77
Jupiter 4 5.2 5.20
Saturn 5 10.0 9.58
Uranus 6 19.6 19.18
Neptune 7 38.8 30.07